Oscar Bettings
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This feels like a particularly volatile year for betting on the Oscars. Is it the fact that there is so much love for a comic book-fueled story about a mad man on a murderous rampage? Perhaps, but the film’s edgy material also makes it hard to really assess Joker without getting painfully biased or over-sensitive.
There is a time and place for being concerned about narratives, being tone-deaf, and mirroring the ugly parts of culture. The movie theater and a stage where beautiful, captivating art is displayed may not be it.
- Worth a flutter: Gangs of New York is rated at odds of 4/1 to scoop best film at the Oscars Oscar bettings for best film award London Evening Standard ESMasthead.
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Whatever the case, Joker is among the early leaders in the 2020 Oscars race. Whether it stands firm and ends up winning Best Picture remains to be seen, but the odds are good that this movie will land heavy praise in the form of some type of hardware.
The question for bettors is when and where to bet on Joker in 2020 and where else to turn with your 2020 Academy Awards betting. It’s early, and both odds and opinions can change in the next few months, but there are enough early signs to help you mold and shape your 2020 Oscars betting strategy.
If you’re all done placing your bet on whether or not there will be a female James Bond, read on for my 2020 Oscars betting tips.
First things first, you probably need to pick a place to bet on the 2020 Academy Awards. I touch on this every single Oscars season, but there really are only a select few entertainment betting websites that you can really trust.
You can hit up that link I just provided, but I’ll go over your top options as far as which sites offer the Oscars prop bets you’ll want to be looking for.
Here are your best options if you live in the United States.
- BetNow.eu
- MyBookie.ag
- SportsBetting.ag
- XBet
- Bovada
If you’re trying to bet on the Oscars immediately, good luck. Not many entertainment betting sites are taking bets, just because the entire process is so fluid.
Oscar Betting Odds
The only category that has really started to show itself is Best Picture, but the top betting sites tend to wait for the major events (Golden Globes, etc.) to start assessing who will take the highest honor at the Oscars.
Historically, I’ve personally found MyBookie.ag and SportsBetting.ag to be the best sites to bet on the Oscars. Few sites host more Academy Awards prop bets and/or offer better Oscars odds.
It’s too early to really compare which site is the best spot for betting on the Oscars in 2020, but this is still something to keep an eye on leading into Oscars season. Once you’re ready to place bets and props start showing up, the aforementioned list of Oscars betting sites is where you’ll want to start.
Part of your Oscars betting strategy has to be taking some type of stance on the Joker movie.
No, I don’t mean a political stance. I mean you either fight the noise and realize there are other more deserving films that should realistically win Best Picture or give into the madness and swallow up the insane betting value.
Let’s be real about this; Joker is an excellent, blended, dark, and important movie. I just don’t know if it’s truly worthy of winning at the Oscars. It doesn’t sound like people voting on the Oscars are sold on it, either.
Should it get a bunch of nominations and perhaps score Joaquin Phoenix a Best Actor win? Sure, but Best Picture is a pretty big deal.
My first look at what movie will win Best Picture did not land on Joker. I’m not taking the bait. Marriage Story still offers a nice price and is a much more palatable film (not to mention a little cleaner and a little less nasty).
There are also a lot of options to peruse this year, with Netflix’s The Irishman gaining major momentum and 1917 also getting a lot of early praise. We won’t know a whole lot until the red carpet starts rolling out for some of the major film award events, but early indications are that the field is rather split for the biggest category.
I will say that the competition for Best Picture is fierce but arguably truncated. I like the early leaders to be the top contenders when it’s all said and done.
With the only Oscars bet floating around right now being for Best Picture, tip number one may be to avoid Joker and look for value elsewhere.
Oscars Betting Tips for 2020
I’ve covered the top entertainment betting sites and touched on easily the most controversial movie of the year.
There is still a lot to consider even beyond that, though, so let’s get a head-start on 2020 Oscars betting with some tips specific to the February 9th event.
Strategy number one, beyond not betting on Joker, is to think for yourself. The top favorites do not always win at the Oscars, and there are often very strong narratives driving numerous nominees and eventual winners.
The Academy has their own agenda most years, while we’ve seen directors and actors alike get their “due” in the form of an Oscars win, often times when it wasn’t all that deserving.
It’s going to depend on which wager you’re dealing with and what narratives are being discussed, of course. And choosing when to listen to said narratives and when to ignore them won’t be easy, either.
Your first objective is to just be open-minded. Take in all of the news you can handle, but don’t buy every rumor that pops up. Hanging your betting hat on concrete information — when at all possible — is the preferred way to go.
Actually Watch Oscar-Nominated Films
If you’re going to bet on the 2020 Oscars, it may be a good idea to watch the movies at hand. It’s not easy, as some of the movies are incredibly overrated (and boring), while finding the time to watch some of these snoozers can be challenging.
However, if you don’t watch Oscar-nominated films, it’s pretty tough to assess value when it comes to odds. That makes it even harder to pinpoint potential 2020 Oscars sleepers, while knowing when to go against heavy favorites becomes less of a probability for you as well.
I’ve already detailed some of the best options in 1917, Joker, Marriage Story, and The Irishman. Truth be told, I’ll be pretty surprised if one of those doesn’t win Best Picture.
However, if I don’t take the time to watch all of those movies, how will I be able to formulate a confident bet as to which movie actually wins? Just as importantly, if I don’t find a way to cram in some of the other movies that will eventually be discussed in the Oscars race, I’ll be missing out on potential upsets.
Another huge aspect bettors don’t always consider is that by watching the most important Oscars films, you get to see all of the renowned performances. By not doing so, you’re not getting a good look at all of the nominees for various acting awards, supporting acting nods, direction, cinematography, and the list goes on.
Watching all of the top films affiliated with Oscars nominations doesn’t guarantee you’ll convert all of your bets, but it can’t hurt to be as informed as possible. You should also be able to enjoy some amazing films along the way.
I touched on this back when I broached whether or not Joker would win Best Picture. One of the big things to look for is how all of the top nominated films fare at festivals.
From there, you’ll want to keep tabs on the major film award events, which will further showcase the top movies on the award show circuit, and it should also highlight the top acting performances.
Including both award shows and festivals, here are some of the big ones bettors need to monitor.
- Venice Film Festival
- Sundance Film Festival
- Cannes International Film Festival
- Golden Globes
- Screen Actors Guild Awards
- BAFTA Awards
All of these festivals are highly regarded and are part of the tour that leads up to the big one, which is understandably the Oscars. That doesn’t mean festivals and awards shows not mentioned here are not worth checking out, but these would be the major ones I’d track.
It’s worth noting that the Venice Film Festival honored Joker as the best film, giving it the Golden Lion award. While I’m not backing Joker to win Best Picture at the 2020 Oscars, this is worth noting due to the high honor and past success Venice winners have had at the Academy Awards.
Roma won here in 2018 and was in the running to win Best Picture in 2018, while The Shape of Water actually took home Best Picture in 2017. Prior to (I’m assuming) Joker, each of the last two Golden Lion winners have at least earned nominations at the Oscars.
Oscar Odds
That hasn’t been a longstanding trend, though. Since 2000, just three Golden Lion winners went on to even be nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars.
This is undeniably an amazing award for Joker to win, but to bet on this film solely because it won at Venice may be a huge mistake.
Sundance Film Festival – Grand Jury Prize
While widely regarded as one of the most important movie festivals in the world, you shouldn’t look to the Sundance Film Festival as some prerequisite to winning at the Oscars.
This is a great place to catch some potential Oscars sleepers and pick up some gems that slip through the cracks, though. Clemencywon the Grand Jury Prize in 2019 and could be a film to keep an eye on, but this award hasn’t gone to a Best Picture nominee since Whiplash in 2014.
While you probably shouldn’t target Clemency to win Best Picture, Sundance is still a useful tool for a variety of sleepers in other genres.
I’m not sure there’s a more popular film festival than Cannes, which has been around since 1955 and just crowned a sure-fire Oscars threat in Parasite this year.
Parasite already had solid Best Picture odds, and this win could make it a legit fighter in the Academy Awards race. The trouble here is there isn’t a rich history of Golden Palm winners going on to enjoy major Oscars success.
The last Golden Palm winner to even be nominated for Best Picture was Amour in 2012. Other success stories include The Tree of Life, The Pianist, Pulp Fiction, and many others, but winning here and at the Oscars just hasn’t been in the cards.
Golden Globes and More
The Golden Globes offer a better indication of what we can expect when preparing to bet on the 2020 Academy Awards. Most of the nominations will be the same, and the top favorites and overall odds should be relatively aligned as well.
Repeat winners can often be expected, but it’s not always a given. Just looking back to last year, the Golden Globes honored Bohemian Rhapsody for best drama, but it was Green Book that won Best Picture at the Oscars.
Rami Malek won Best Actor at both award shows, though, showing how favorites can absolutely live up to their billing. Favorites can also fall, however, as Glenn Close was supposed to win Best Actress but only won at the Golden Globes and not at the Academy Awards.
There can be inconsistency across all of these major awards, too. Rami Malek dominated the award scene for Best Actor in 2018, but Glenn Close took home honors at the SAG awards but got upset by Olivia Colman at the Golden Globes and Oscars.
If you’re looking for a way to spot Oscars upset picks, looking back at these other award shows can help you. Not only can outright wins at previous award shows give you a clue, but other award shows often split nominees into different categories.
Once combined into one category on the biggest stage that is the Oscars, all bets are off.
Oscar Betting Strategy
After watching the movies, reading reviews, and keeping up with festival and award show results, all that is left for you to do is monitor the Academy Awards odds.
As I write this, there aren’t any updated 2020 Oscars odds, largely because the only wager circulating has been for Best Picture. You’ll start to see fresh Oscars odds more once November arrives, when we really get into the award show circuit and start to see the main nominees.
Pricing will pop up for the Golden Globes and perhaps even the SAG awards and other events. Whether you bet on those movie award shows or not, use that initial pricing and feedback to start formulating your 2020 Oscars bets.
Oscar Betting Sheet
Once we start to see more wager types trickle out, we can nail down the pricing, who the top favorites are, and which Oscars sleepers are actually worth your time. There isn’t ever a perfect science to it, but you can begin to assess which categories demand a little risk.
Summary
The actual process of figuring out who will win at the Oscars has already begun, but it’s in the early stages. There is major buzz around some pretty huge films, but there is more information to soak up in the coming months.
For now, just make sure you’re listening to all of the feedback and are not blocking things out due to bias. I think there is still merit in betting on some movies or actors that you want to see win. But if you want to turn a profit while betting on the Oscars, it’s best to avoid leaning on emotions too much.
For instance, I loved the Joker movie.
The acting, directing, cinematography, and tone were all exceptional. Dark and disturbing, but really unlike anything I’d seen before. If I were simply voting on the movie that left an imprint on me as I left the theater, that’d be my winner.
I just doubt that’s how the Academy grades things.
There is also some serious competition this year, just like most years. When you start factoring in the odds with how the Academy will probably vote, bias starts to fizzle out a bit.
Refrain from leaning on personal bias too much, but also don’t blindly trust the latest odds and top expert predictions. Even when I make my Oscars picks each year, I’m basing a lot of my predictions on price, what I’ve read, and my personal opinion after watching the films and paying attention to award show results.
It has to be a blend of everything. You can bet on the top favorites that make sense to you and aren’t egregiously priced, but it may be wise to attack value in competitive categories. This is especially something to consider in categories where the favorite isn’t even an option.
I know it’s early, but if you want to make money betting on the 2020 Oscars, your strategy starts here. Find the best Oscars betting sites you’ll wager at, track the top festivals and award shows, go watch as many of these movies as you can, and keep track of the latest Oscars odds.
Do all that, and once these wagers are all live, you’ll be ahead of the curve in trying to profit from this iconic awards show.
If you feel like putting some money on the line but aren’t into entertainment betting, hit up our sports betting HQ for the latest odds and expert predictions for all of the major sports betting genres.
Yesterday we started to look at the bettings odds for the Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominees. But the girls we featured yesterday had better spend time practising their disappointed faces.
Because, as far as the betting odds are concerned, yesterday’s actresses – Frances McDormand, Catherine Keener and Amy Adams – are simply there to make up the numbers; it’ll be one of the actresses we’ll look at today who’ll win the Best Supporting Actress Oscar. Probably. You’d better make sure you place a juicy great bet on the outcome of these – without the prospect of winning money, you’ll see the Oscars for what they are; a stream of people telling each other how important it is to put a cowboy hat on and kiss Heath Ledger with tongues.
So here are the Best Supporting Actress Oscar betting odds for Michelle Williams and Rachel Weisz, with help from SportingOdds.com…
Michelle Williams – Michelle Williams played Alma in Brokeback
Mountain. Everyone’s harping on about Michelle’s Brokeback Mountain
performance as being Oscar-worthy, but she doesn’t really do that much
in the film. She has one big long shout about fishing rods about two
thirds of the way through, but apart from that she just stumbles around
looking really tired all the time. That’s basically our lives, and
where’s our freaking Oscar nomination? Still, it wouldn’t be such a
leap to see Michelle Williams winning the Best Supporting Actress Oscar
this year. Current Best Supporting Actress Oscar betting odds – 9/2
Rachel Weisz – Rachel Weisz played Tessa Quayle in The Constant Gardener. It always confuses
us when an actor or actress who we assume is a bit rubbish does quite
well and wins awards in serious films. Like Rachel Weisz – star of The
Mummy and Constantine. We’d always thought of Rachel Weisz as like a
second-rate Kate Beckinsdale, and then she went and starred in The
Constant Gardener – a Serious Film about Important Things. And in The
Constant Gardener, she got to do things like Shout Long Speeches about
The War and look all serious. And then get murdered. Rachel won a
Golden Globe for this role, and so she’s the favourite to win the
Oscar, too. Best Supporting Actress Oscar betting odds – 1/3
That’s all for this week – next week we’ll be taking a look at the
betting odds for the Best Director Oscar nominees. But in the meantime,
head over to the Specials section of SportingOdds.com to see the full
list of Oscars betting odds in all categories. And don’t forget to
place a bet while you’re there. It’s easy and fun and SportingOdds.com
will match your first bet when you open an account with them. Good luck!
[story by Stuart Heritage]